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Anticipating African Conflicts. A Capability Assessment of the African Union and its Continental Early Warning System

Автор:   Christian N.S.
мягкая обложка
116 страниц
2009 год
Издательство:   Книга по Требованию
Цена:
1978 руб
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Описание:The aim is to detect social situations that may evolve into conflict. Hopefully, this study will contribute to a better understanding of what kinds of conflicts such a system needs to monitor. There are many challenges facing the AU, as lack of political will seem to impede the progress of CEWS. In this study the capability of the AU to create an early warning system that looks into the causes of all kinds of conflicts in the Horn of Africa is discussed. The AU hopes to use sub-regional mechanisms in Africa as the main suppliers of information to CEWS, and the co-operation with the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) in the Horn is also looked into. Clearly, this is an ambitious undertaking as there are so many kinds of conflicts on the continent, triggered by so many different causes. Still, if the organisation eventually succeeds in developing a mechanism that anticipates conflicts, it would be a giant leap forward for a continent where conflicts have had so devastating consequences. The African Union (AU) is currently developing a Continental Early Warning System (CEWS) in Africa.


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Designated targets

They lived under the sword of Damocles, knowing that it must fall. An attempt at invasion was imminent. Yet the power of those early-warning systems meant that a degree of relaxation now existed in London, even as preparations to meet the Nazi blitzkrieg accelerated. Halabi saw no street signs as she drove through the city, no locale indications of any kind. Even war memorials had been defaced to remove the names of local boroughs. There were no milestones to be seen. They had all been pulled up. The devastation of London, whole blocks demolished by blast damage and fire, never failed to stun her with a fractured sense of the familiar. It wasn't just the city. It was the echoes of other cities. In every street, drums of oil-soaked rags stood ready to be lit to provide a smoke screen, just as in the Baghdad and Damascus of her youth. Then of course, there was the unfamiliar. In this London, like hers, military uniforms were everywhere, but here, apart from an occasional African-American soldier, there was nobody like her ...»

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