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The Chaos of Forced Migration. A Means of Modeling Complexity for Humanitarian Ends

Автор:   Scott E.
мягкая обложка
168 страниц
2009 год
Издательство:   Книга по Требованию
2744 руб
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Описание:The challenge in early warning of displacement crises comes not in predicting individual behavior, but in predicting the collective behavior of thousands of people fleeing from violence, oppression, and disaster, while each retains individual autonomy and social identity. In fact, the Chaos we witness is ordered and predictable. And anything that may be predicted may be prevented. This book is intended to reorient understanding of displacement with the complexity that characterizes real-world episodes of forced migration. Observing displacement crises in the news gives the impression of Chaos—of the breakdown of order and recognizable patterns that frame our interaction with the world. Armed with such forcecasting models of flight, we may find great benefit for the world’s most vulnerable people. In fact, Chaos is not what we witness, but rather the word is our way of describing the awful truth that governs the lives of so many. In doing so, it details an important step towards using computational models as a tool in addressing the devastating consequences of displacement.

Orthomol Immun Junior Сила иммунитета на страже Вашего ребенка Orthomol Immun Junior Сила иммунитета на страже Вашего ребенка

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The history of Rome. Book IV

But of very different importance from these measures was the scheme of Gaius - which, it is true, was hardly carried into effect - to strengthen the senate by 300 new members, that is, by just about as many as it hitherto had contained, and to have them elected from the equestrian order by the comitia - a creation of peers after the most comprehensive style, which would have reduced the senate into the most complete dependence on the chief of the state. Character of the Constitution of Gaius Gracchus This was the political constitution which Gaius Gracchus projected and, in its most essential points, carried out during the two years of his tribunate (631, 632), without, so far as we can see, encountering any resistance worthy of mention, and without requiring to apply force for the attainment of his ends. The order of sequence in which these measures were carried can no longer be recognized in the confused accounts handed down to us, and various questions that suggest themselves have to remain unanswered. But it does not seem as if, in what is missing, many elements of material importance have escaped us; for as to the principal matters we have quite trustworthy information, and Gaius was by no means, like his brother, urged on further and further by the current of events, but evidently had a well-considered and comprehensive plan, the substance of which he fully embodied in a series of special laws ...»

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