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Integrating Data and Expert Opinion Using Bayesian Statistics to Build Complex Reliability Models Theory and Case Study. Expert Knowledge Based Reliability Models:

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184 страниц
2008 год
»здательство:    нига по “ребованию
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2781 руб
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ќписание:As we employ complex reliability and maintenance models it becomes difficult to find the necessary statistical data in appropriate formats. The models can be updated later with statistical data by applying Bayesian statistics. Although the case study is based on a rather complex reliability model, the technique can easily be employed in more simple situations such as for Weibull distribution. The theory is complemented by a real industrial case study. The book is intended for engineers, consultants, and students in the field of asset management. In this book after a comprehensive review of the literature on knowledge elicitation and formulation techniques, I have presented a simple methodology that elicits expert knowledge to be used in different reliability models. Available knowledge elicitation techniques usually require high proficiency in statistical and cognitive techniques. The principle of EBAM is to use all available information in form of statistical data or expert knowledge to frame the problem as a mathematical model which can be solved by optimization techniques. Recently there has been an increasing interest in what is called Evidence Based Asset Management.


Orthomol Immun Junior —ила иммунитета на страже ¬ашего ребенка Orthomol Immun Junior —ила иммунитета на страже ¬ашего ребенка

2990 руб
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The Reign of Quantity and The Signs of the Times

The proof of this is that the same statistics in the hands of several experts, even though they may all be вАШspecialistsвАЩ in the same line, often give rise, according to the respective theories of the experts, to quite different conclusions, which may even sometimes be diametrically opposed. That being the case, the self-styled вАШexactвАЩ sciences of the moderns, to the extent that they make use of statistics and go so far as to extract from them predictions for the future (relying always on the supposed identicality of the facts taken into account, whether past or future), are really no more than mere вАШconjecturalвАЩ sciences, to use an expression freely employed by the promoters of a kind of modern astrology dubbed вАШscientificвАЩ; and in employing this term they admit more freely than many other people what their astrology really consists in, for it certainly has only the vaguest and most remote connection, perhaps no more than that of a common terminology, with the true traditional astrology of the ancients, which is today as completely lost as all other knowledge of the same order ...»

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√лобус Ћуны диаметром 320 мм.
ƒиаметр: 320 мм. ћасштаб: 1:40000000. ћатериал подставки: пластик. ÷вет подставки: черный. Ўар выполнен из толстого пластика, имеет один
1036 руб
–аздел: √лобусы
—иденье в ванну раздвижное (дерево).
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752 руб
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 онтейнер дл€ аптечки "ƒомашний доктор", 10 л.
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324 руб
–аздел: 5-10 литров


Scientific Feng Shui. Application of Feng Shui Knowledge to Preliminary Building Design Evaluation Using Knowledge-Based Expert Systems Approach
Feng Shui is a body of ancient Chinese wisdom which aimed at creating a harmony among environment, buildings and people.
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Second, I apply trans-disciplinary induction to acquire a? ? knowledge about knowledgea? ? redefining a? ? ideologya? ? as commensurable concepts shared across knowledge domains and practices.
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The simulation developed is able to analyze the behavior of the file system, changing the topology of the network and connection speed between hosts and subnets, so that it is possible to change network connection speed and number of hosts, which generates a series of tests that verify the most critical points on the system.
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Based on the model, this book presents all the techniques required to develop a Multi-script Text Editing system using online Handwriting Recognition for the case of Ethiopic and Latin script for PDA devices.
          1994 руб             2009 год          80 стр.          м€гка€ обложка

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Since our approach is an image- based method, it can be implemented with low cost, off-the-shelf digital cameras.
          1994 руб             2009 год          92 стр.          м€гка€ обложка

Representing Nutrition and Genotype in Forest Productivity Models. A process-based approach for Pinus radiata
One of the key findings was that the effects of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) supply on photosynthesis were statistically independent and that growth-constrating clones did not differ in photosynthetic parameters.
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Many scientists take this challenge and analyzed these phenomena in many contexts such as flocking, schooling, swarming. . . They have described the collective moves in groups by many continuous and discrete models in form of non linear discrete systems or differential equations.
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The main contributions of the research are : 1) defines a new feature called a potential arc that is used to extend traditional Colored Petri Net (CPN) models to support agent behavior modeling; 2) presents a semi-automated MAS modeling methodology, which allow software engineers to create MAS systems based on the extended CPN model; 3) presents an intelligent coordinator design methodology, resulting in a set of coordinators at different levels of intelligence; and 4)evaluates the proposed modeling methodology by developing models and performing simulationbased analysis. The research reported in this dissertation involves a broad array of tasks, including model generation algorithms, analysis/simulation techniques, and experimentation. Potential arcs serve to extend the traditional CPN model with an explicit support for distinguishing the representation of potential conflicts and real conflicts, and thereby avoid the need for eliminating all potential conflicts in the design stage. This dissertation defines a new feature called a potential arc that is used to extend traditional Colored Petri Net(CPN) models to support agent behavior modeling.
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Business Models for Traffic Management System. Business model analysis for traffic system based on mobile communication networks
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          2005 руб             2008 год          72 стр.          м€гка€ обложка

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Culture and its effect on economic growth is a topic of increasing interest to economists.
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Hydrology of Reconstructed and Natural Watersheds. Modeling Based Comparative Analysis of Hydrological Performance
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Sensor Based Modeling of Copper Chemical Mechanical Planarization. Modeling the slurry chemistry effects on Material Removal Rate (MRR)
The variations in slurry chemistry parameters including pH, concentrations of complexing and corrosion inhibiting agents, and slurry flow rates as well as average MRR in Cu-CMP process are modeled using features from two vibration sensors (one wired and the other wireless accelerometer).
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Elastic Employment Contracts. A model for overcoming the "stickiness" of knowledge in multinational organizations Managing knowledge flows in MNCs:
Managing knowledge flows in MNCs:
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A vector-based geographic cellular automata model. A new model to mitigate scale sensitivity and to allow objectsТ geometric transformation
The neighborhood is not rigid and restricted to a set of adjacent polygons; rather, it is dynamic, it includes the whole geographic space, and it is specific to each object.
          2413 руб             2009 год          148 стр.          м€гка€ обложка

Product Platform Knowledge Management Using the Semantic Web Paradigm. Share, Analyze, and Optimize Both Codified and Unarticulated Product Platform Knowledge by Developing Ontologies Based on the Semantic Web Paradigm.
The design information captured by heterogeneous software systems in proprietary data structures makes it difficult to index, search, refine, reuse, distribute and browse design artifacts across different organizational information systems.
          2781 руб             2008 год          200 стр.          м€гка€ обложка

Dataflow-Based Rollback Recovery in Distributed and Multi-Core Systems. A Novel Software Approach for Building Highly Reliable Distributed and Multi-Core Systems
Using the COSMOS simulator, performance comparisons and tradeoffs are made between process restart and checkpoint/rollback, and an analytical model is developed to validate the empirical results.
          3231 руб             2009 год          236 стр.          м€гка€ обложка

Theory and Design Model-Free and Model-Based Approaches: Sequential Integration Approach to Fault Diagnosis with Applications.
This book presents a clear and easy introduction to the sequential integration of the two major approaches to FD with application, namely model-free and model-based and draws on the power of the two approaches vitally for the detection of incipient faults which are hard to uncover by a single approach alone.
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Discrete Choice Models. Emphasis on Problems of Network-Based Level of Service Attributes in Travel Demand Analysis
Discrete choice models are important tools for analysis of individual choice behavior and have been applied in diverse fields, including transport, marketing, economics, environment and so on. This book begins with discussions about basic concepts and theory underlying the econometrics of discrete choice, commonly used models, model building and tests, and applications of choice models.
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Diffusion-based flood inundation modelling. Development and application of a flood inundation model over topographically complex floodplains
This approach is found to give significantly better prediction of fluvial flood inundation in urban areas as compared with traditional calibration of sub grid-scale effects using roughness parameter.
          3231 руб             2010 год          240 стр.          м€гка€ обложка

The Alignment of Organizational Knowledge and Business Strategies. Concepts, Frameworks, Models, and Performance Impact Analysis
The alignment concept has traditionally been applied in the IT, HR, and Strategic Management fields.
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Models for Spectral Luminous Efficiency in Peripheral Vision. Performance Based Evaluation of Visibility at Low Luminance Levels
Currently applied models based on central vision lack the ability to describe visual performance in peripheral vision correctly.
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The Theory and Practice of Runtime Reflection. A Model-based Framework for Dynamic Analysis of Distributed Reactive Systems
Properties are translatable into temporal logics for which efficient monitors can be generated.
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Basics, Models and Analysis AVAILABILITY-AWARE PROVISIONING IN P-CYCLE-BASED MESH NETWORKS.
Survivability of high-capacity optical wavelength-division multiplexing (WDM) mesh networks has received much research attention for many years now.
          2413 руб             2010 год          128 стр.          м€гка€ обложка

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