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Íàèìåíîâàíèå: Integrating Data and Expert Opinion Using Bayesian Statistics to Build Complex Reliability Models Theory and Case Study. Expert Knowledge Based Reliability Models: Àâòîð: ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà 184 ñòðàíèö 2008 ãîä Èçäàòåëüñòâî:   Êíèãà ïî Òðåáîâàíèþ Öåíà: 2781 ðóá îòñóòñâóåò íà ñêëàäå ñïîñîáû äîñòàâêè è îïëàòû Îïèñàíèå: As we employ complex reliability and maintenance models it becomes difficult to find the necessary statistical data in appropriate formats. The models can be updated later with statistical data by applying Bayesian statistics. Although the case study is based on a rather complex reliability model, the technique can easily be employed in more simple situations such as for Weibull distribution. The theory is complemented by a real industrial case study. The book is intended for engineers, consultants, and students in the field of asset management. In this book after a comprehensive review of the literature on knowledge elicitation and formulation techniques, I have presented a simple methodology that elicits expert knowledge to be used in different reliability models. Available knowledge elicitation techniques usually require high proficiency in statistical and cognitive techniques. The principle of EBAM is to use all available information in form of statistical data or expert knowledge to frame the problem as a mathematical model which can be solved by optimization techniques. Recently there has been an increasing interest in what is called Evidence Based Asset Management.

Orthomol Immun Junior Ñèëà èììóíèòåòà íà ñòðàæå Âàøåãî ðåáåíêà 2990 ðóá Áåñïëàòíàÿ äîñòàâêà

The Reign of Quantity and The Signs of the Times The proof of this is that the same statistics in the hands of several experts, even though they may all be ‘specialists’ in the same line, often give rise, according to the respective theories of the experts, to quite different conclusions, which may even sometimes be diametrically opposed. That being the case, the self-styled ‘exact’ sciences of the moderns, to the extent that they make use of statistics and go so far as to extract from them predictions for the future (relying always on the supposed identicality of the facts taken into account, whether past or future), are really no more than mere ‘conjectural’ sciences, to use an expression freely employed by the promoters of a kind of modern astrology dubbed ‘scientific’; and in employing this term they admit more freely than many other people what their astrology really consists in, for it certainly has only the vaguest and most remote connection, perhaps no more than that of a common terminology, with the true traditional astrology of the ancients, which is today as completely lost as all other knowledge of the same order ...»

Êîä äëÿ âñòàâêè êíèãè â áëîã HTML <a href="http://www.booksiti.net.ru/books/14212075" target="_blank"><img src="http://www.booksiti.net.ru/books/14212075.jpg" title="Integrating Data and Expert Opinion Using Bayesian Statistics to Build Complex Reliability Models Theory and Case Study. Expert Knowledge Based Reliability Models: " width=180 border=1 align=left></a> phpBB Integrating Data and Expert Opinion Using Bayesian Statistics to Build Complex Reliability Models Theory and Case Study. Expert Knowledge Based Reliability Models: [url=http://www.booksiti.net.ru/books/14212075][img]http://www.booksiti.net.ru/books/14212075.jpg[/img][/url] òåêñò Integrating Data and Expert Opinion Using Bayesian Statistics to Build Complex Reliability Models Theory and Case Study. Expert Knowledge Based Reliability Models: http://www.booksiti.net.ru/books/14212075

Ãëîáóñ Ëóíû äèàìåòðîì 320 ìì.
Äèàìåòð: 320 ìì. Ìàñøòàá: 1:40000000. Ìàòåðèàë ïîäñòàâêè: ïëàñòèê. Öâåò ïîäñòàâêè: ÷åðíûé. Øàð âûïîëíåí èç òîëñòîãî ïëàñòèêà, èìååò îäèí
1036 ðóá
Ðàçäåë: Ãëîáóñû

Ñèäåíüå â âàííó ðàçäâèæíîå (äåðåâî).
Ñèäåíüå â âàííó ðàçäâèæíîå, ïÿòèðåå÷íîå, çàêðåïëåííîå ê êàðêàñó, ðåãóëèðóåòñÿ ïî øèðèíå âàííû. Ïðåäîõðàíÿéòå äåðåâÿííóþ ÷àñòü èçäåëèÿ îò
752 ðóá
Ðàçäåë: Ðåøåòêè, ñèäåíüÿ äëÿ âàííû

Êîíòåéíåð äëÿ àïòå÷êè "Äîìàøíèé äîêòîð", 10 ë.
Êîíòåéíåð âûïîëíåí èç ïðîçðà÷íîãî ïëàñòèêà. Äëÿ óäîáñòâà ïåðåíîñêè ñâåðõó èìååòñÿ ðó÷êà. Âíóòðü âñòàâëÿåòñÿ öâåòíîé âêëàäûø ñ îäíèì
324 ðóá
Ðàçäåë: 5-10 ëèòðîâ

Scientific Feng Shui. Application of Feng Shui Knowledge to Preliminary Building Design Evaluation Using Knowledge-Based Expert Systems Approach
Feng Shui is a body of ancient Chinese wisdom which aimed at creating a harmony among environment, buildings and people.
          3212 ðóá             2009 ãîä          372 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Human Capital and Regional Development. A Skills and Knowledge Based Approach for Economic Development
Using a detailed analysis of workers’ skill and knowledge capabilities the authors identify, compare and contrast the skill and knowledge needs and gaps existing in three metropolitan regions of Australia.
          3231 ðóá             2009 ãîä          236 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Ideological Evolution The Competitiveness of Nations in a Global Knowledge-Based Economy.
Second, I apply trans-disciplinary induction to acquire a? ? knowledge about knowledgea? ? redefining a? ? ideologya? ? as commensurable concepts shared across knowledge domains and practices.
          2413 ðóá             2007 ãîä          316 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

New eccentricity Based Confinement Model Confined Reinforced Concrete Circular Columns.
In previous studies, various models were implemented to assess the ultimate confined capacity of columns under concentric axial loads.
          2400 ðóá             2009 ãîä          144 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Study in Highway Environmental Assessment GIS-Based Hydrological Model.
This book provides theories and tools in GIS application in hydrologic engineering, and should be especially useful to professionals in water environmental assessment.
          3231 ðóá             2008 ãîä          204 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Agent Based User Modeling. A framework based on Java and 3D game technology
In this work multiple technologies are combined to create a complete framework to run automated or interactive user modelling experiments.
          1891 ðóá             2010 ãîä          112 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

AGENT BASED DISTRIBUTED FILE SYSTEM. MODELING, SIMULATION AND PERFORMANCE EVALUATION
The simulation developed is able to analyze the behavior of the file system, changing the topology of the network and connection speed between hosts and subnets, so that it is possible to change network connection speed and number of hosts, which generates a series of tests that verify the most critical points on the system.
          2744 ðóá             2009 ãîä          184 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Volume Modeling and Volumetric Collision Detection GPU-BASED REAL-TIME SOLID VOXELIZATION FOR VOLUME GRAPHICS. Theory and Practice:
This book proposes a new approach for an important step of volume graphics -- solid voxelization by Graphics Processor Unit (GPU) acceleration in real time.
          1978 ðóá             2009 ãîä          120 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Multi-script Text Editing based on online Handwriting Recognition. Modeling a case of Ethiopic and Latin script for PDA devices
Based on the model, this book presents all the techniques required to develop a Multi-script Text Editing system using online Handwriting Recognition for the case of Ethiopic and Latin script for PDA devices.
          1994 ðóá             2009 ãîä          80 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Speed and Deep Measurements from Motion blurred Images. A complete speed measurement process of a moving object and a depth estimation model is proposed based on one single image
Since our approach is an image- based method, it can be implemented with low cost, off-the-shelf digital cameras.
          1994 ðóá             2009 ãîä          92 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Representing Nutrition and Genotype in Forest Productivity Models. A process-based approach for Pinus radiata
One of the key findings was that the effects of nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) supply on photosynthesis were statistically independent and that growth-constrating clones did not differ in photosynthetic parameters.
          3212 ðóá             2009 ãîä          288 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

A Model to enable Knowledge Maintenance. Supporting Manufacturing Decisions
The author identified a need to create structures and methods that readily manage and maintain such knowledge to assure the long-term use of their Knowledge Based systems and improve the company’s competitiveness.
          2400 ðóá             2009 ãîä          156 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Modeling, analysis and simulations of condensing of particles Energy-based model of condensing on metric spaces.
Many scientists take this challenge and analyzed these phenomena in many contexts such as flocking, schooling, swarming. . . They have described the collective moves in groups by many continuous and discrete models in form of non linear discrete systems or differential equations.
          2359 ðóá             2009 ãîä          104 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Theory and Application A Component-Based Multi-Agent System Modeling Methodology.
The main contributions of the research are : 1) defines a new feature called a potential arc that is used to extend traditional Colored Petri Net (CPN) models to support agent behavior modeling; 2) presents a semi-automated MAS modeling methodology, which allow software engineers to create MAS systems based on the extended CPN model; 3) presents an intelligent coordinator design methodology, resulting in a set of coordinators at different levels of intelligence; and 4)evaluates the proposed modeling methodology by developing models and performing simulationbased analysis. The research reported in this dissertation involves a broad array of tasks, including model generation algorithms, analysis/simulation techniques, and experimentation. Potential arcs serve to extend the traditional CPN model with an explicit support for distinguishing the representation of potential conflicts and real conflicts, and thereby avoid the need for eliminating all potential conflicts in the design stage. This dissertation defines a new feature called a potential arc that is used to extend traditional Colored Petri Net(CPN) models to support agent behavior modeling.
          2400 ðóá             2009 ãîä          144 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Business Models for Traffic Management System. Business model analysis for traffic system based on mobile communication networks
With sensitivity analysis the robustness of the profitability is outlined and the top critical model parameters are analysed by goal seek.
          2005 ðóá             2008 ãîä          72 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Software Product Line Architecture for Enterprise Applications. Principles, Methodologies, and Practices for Model-based SPL Engineering
However, domain variabilities often crosscut the architecture and are therefore orthogonal to individual software artifacts that make up a system.
          2413 ðóá             2008 ãîä          140 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

The Relationship between Economic Growth and Culture. A Model Based on Japan and the United States
Culture and its effect on economic growth is a topic of increasing interest to economists.
          2005 ðóá             2008 ãîä          52 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Hydrology of Reconstructed and Natural Watersheds. Modeling Based Comparative Analysis of Hydrological Performance
This study is useful in the decision making where the hydrological performance of the reconstructed watersheds is vital.
          2413 ðóá             2009 ãîä          136 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Sensor Based Modeling of Copper Chemical Mechanical Planarization. Modeling the slurry chemistry effects on Material Removal Rate (MRR)
The variations in slurry chemistry parameters including pH, concentrations of complexing and corrosion inhibiting agents, and slurry flow rates as well as average MRR in Cu-CMP process are modeled using features from two vibration sensors (one wired and the other wireless accelerometer).
          2413 ðóá             2009 ãîä          132 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Elastic Employment Contracts. A model for overcoming the "stickiness" of knowledge in multinational organizations Managing knowledge flows in MNCs:
Managing knowledge flows in MNCs:
          2005 ðóá             2009 ãîä          104 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

A vector-based geographic cellular automata model. A new model to mitigate scale sensitivity and to allow objects’ geometric transformation
The neighborhood is not rigid and restricted to a set of adjacent polygons; rather, it is dynamic, it includes the whole geographic space, and it is specific to each object.
          2413 ðóá             2009 ãîä          148 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Product Platform Knowledge Management Using the Semantic Web Paradigm. Share, Analyze, and Optimize Both Codified and Unarticulated Product Platform Knowledge by Developing Ontologies Based on the Semantic Web Paradigm.
The design information captured by heterogeneous software systems in proprietary data structures makes it difficult to index, search, refine, reuse, distribute and browse design artifacts across different organizational information systems.
          2781 ðóá             2008 ãîä          200 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Dataflow-Based Rollback Recovery in Distributed and Multi-Core Systems. A Novel Software Approach for Building Highly Reliable Distributed and Multi-Core Systems
Using the COSMOS simulator, performance comparisons and tradeoffs are made between process restart and checkpoint/rollback, and an analytical model is developed to validate the empirical results.
          3231 ðóá             2009 ãîä          236 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Theory and Design Model-Free and Model-Based Approaches: Sequential Integration Approach to Fault Diagnosis with Applications.
This book presents a clear and easy introduction to the sequential integration of the two major approaches to FD with application, namely model-free and model-based and draws on the power of the two approaches vitally for the detection of incipient faults which are hard to uncover by a single approach alone.
          2781 ðóá             2010 ãîä          196 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Discrete Choice Models. Emphasis on Problems of Network-Based Level of Service Attributes in Travel Demand Analysis
Discrete choice models are important tools for analysis of individual choice behavior and have been applied in diverse fields, including transport, marketing, economics, environment and so on. This book begins with discussions about basic concepts and theory underlying the econometrics of discrete choice, commonly used models, model building and tests, and applications of choice models.
          2413 ðóá             2010 ãîä          148 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Diffusion-based flood inundation modelling. Development and application of a flood inundation model over topographically complex floodplains
This approach is found to give significantly better prediction of fluvial flood inundation in urban areas as compared with traditional calibration of sub grid-scale effects using roughness parameter.
          3231 ðóá             2010 ãîä          240 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

The Alignment of Organizational Knowledge and Business Strategies. Concepts, Frameworks, Models, and Performance Impact Analysis
The alignment concept has traditionally been applied in the IT, HR, and Strategic Management fields.
          2005 ðóá             2008 ãîä          104 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Models for Spectral Luminous Efficiency in Peripheral Vision. Performance Based Evaluation of Visibility at Low Luminance Levels
Currently applied models based on central vision lack the ability to describe visual performance in peripheral vision correctly.
          2005 ðóá             2008 ãîä          76 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

The Theory and Practice of Runtime Reflection. A Model-based Framework for Dynamic Analysis of Distributed Reactive Systems
Properties are translatable into temporal logics for which efficient monitors can be generated.
          3231 ðóá             2008 ãîä          220 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

Basics, Models and Analysis AVAILABILITY-AWARE PROVISIONING IN P-CYCLE-BASED MESH NETWORKS.
Survivability of high-capacity optical wavelength-division multiplexing (WDM) mesh networks has received much research attention for many years now.
          2413 ðóá             2010 ãîä          128 ñòð.          ìÿãêàÿ îáëîæêà

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