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What the Dog Saw: And Other AdventuresWhy was the Pacific fleet at Pearl Harbor so unresponsive to signs of an impending Japanese attack? Because, in the week before December 7, 1941, they had checked out seven reports of Japanese submarines in the area БЂ“ and all seven were false. RosenhanБЂ™s psychiatrists used to miss the sane; then they started to see sane people everywhere. That is a change, but it is not exactly progress. 5. In the wake of the Yom Kippur War, the Israeli government appointed a special investigative commission, and one of the witnesses called was Major General Zeira, the head of Aman. Why, they asked, had he insisted that war was not imminent? His answer was simple: The Chief of Staff has to make decisions, and his decisions must be clear. The best support that the head of Aman can give the Chief of Staff is to give a clear and unambiguous estimate, provided that it is done in an objective fashion. To be sure, the clearer and sharper the estimate, the clearer and sharper the mistake БЂ“ but this is a professional hazard for the head of Aman ...» |
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