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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly ImprobableThey call it БЂњemotional evanescence.БЂ«Forecasting and consciousness:see the idea of БЂњaboutnessБЂ«in dennett (1995, 2003) and Humphrey (1992). However, Gilbert (2006) believes that we are not the only animal that forecastsБЂ”which is wrong as it turned out. Suddendorf (2006) and Dally, Emery, and Clayton (2006) show that animals too forecast! RussellБЂ™s comment on PascalБЂ™s wager:ayer (1988) reports this as a private communication. History:carr (1961), hexter (1979), and Gaddis (2002). But I have trouble with historians throughout, because they often mistake the forward and the backward processes. Mark BuchananБЂ™s Ubiquity and the quite confused discussion by Niall Ferguson in Nature. Neither of them seem to realize the problem of calibration with power laws. See also Ferguson, Why Did the Great War?, to gauge the extent of the forward-backward problems. For the traditional nomological tendency, i.e., the attempt to go beyond cause into a general theory, see Muqaddamah by Ibn Khaldoun. See also HegelБЂ™s Philosophy of History ...» |
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