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The World in 2050: Four Forces Shaping Civilization's Northern FutureAt present, wind power is one of the cheapest renewable energies, averaging around $0.05 per kilowatt-hour,154 putting it closest to conventional fossil-fuel electricity prices ($0.02-$0.03/ kWh). The main concerns with wind power are bird and bat deaths, conflicts over land use, and aesthetics. Most wind farms today are on land, but offshore installations are also gathering investorsБЂ™ interest. While itБЂ™s harder to install turbines and grid connections in the ocean, offshore winds are stronger, so they produce more electricity, and there is less competition for the space. In 2010 the Obama administration approved the United StatesБЂ™ first offshore wind farm near Cape Cod, Massachusetts. The wind power industry has a thirty-year legacy and is now reaping double-digit growth. Depending on the choices we make,155 our global wind power capacity is expected to grow anywhere from tenfold to over fiftyfold by the year 2050, cornering 2%-17% of the worldБЂ™s electricity market. That leaves solar energy. The Sun, in principle, offers us more inexhaustible clean power than we could ever possibly use ...» |
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