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Simulation-Based Decision Making for Complex Systems. Applications in Disaster Response Planning and Management

Автор:   Shengnan W.
мягкая обложка
200 страниц
2009 год
Издательство:   Книга по Требованию
Цена:
2744 руб
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Описание:We have used this novel simulation-optimization technique to study several disaster response problems. The applications in disaster response management should help emergency managers and personnel to gain insights into several significant response problems. However, it can be complemented by incorporating optimization routines. Although simulation can represent physical systems realistically, it is a descriptive tool without the capability of suggesting better solutions. Over the last several decades, computer simulations have been widely utilized to model and analyze complex systems at low costs and risks. This book, therefore, provides a highly efficient evolutionary simulation-based decision making procedure which can be applied in real-time management situations. The most challenging problem is that large-scale simulation models normally take a considerable amount of computer time to execute so that the number of solution evaluations needed by most optimization algorithms is not feasible within a reasonable time frame. The methodologies provided herein should be useful to professionals and researchers in the fields of industrial engineering and operations research.


Orthomol Immun Junior Сила иммунитета на страже Вашего ребенка Orthomol Immun Junior Сила иммунитета на страже Вашего ребенка

2990 руб
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What the Dog Saw: And Other Adventures

It is her depiction of this internal world that makes her book so disquieting: when she lays out the sequence of decisions that led to the launch БЂ“ each decision as trivial as the string of failures that led to the near disaster at TMI БЂ“ it is difficult to find any precise point where things went wrong or where things might be improved next time. БЂњIt can truly be said that the Challenger launch decision was a rule-based decision,БЂ« she concludes. БЂњBut the cultural understandings, rules, procedures, and norms that always had worked in the past did not work this time. It was not amorally calculating managers violating rules that were responsible for the tragedy. It was conformity.БЂ« 4. There is another way to look at this problem, and that is from the standpoint of how human beings handle risk. One of the assumptions behind the modern disaster ritual is that when a risk can be identified and eliminated, a system can be made safer. The new booster joints on the shuttle, for example, are so much better than the old ones that the overall chances of a Challenger-style accidentБЂ™s ever happening again must be lower, right? This is such a straightforward idea that questioning it seems almost impossible ...»

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